I bet the Browns have asked themselves in the deepest corner of their darkest nightmares: Now, quarterback Deshaun Watson is returning from an 11-game suspension resulting from more than two dozen lawsuits detailing graphic accounts of sexual harassment and assault. What if he returns and his on-court game isn’t worth the headaches and moral twists it takes to get him to Cleveland?
While that may sound ludicrous, especially for the three-time Pro Bowler and college national champion who is about to restart his career against the worst team in the NFL, let’s take what we know about player Watson out of the equation for a moment and consider an opinion. From 30,000 feet. Cleveland is paying the richest contract in professional football history for a player who will be suspended 700 days from playing in a regular season game on an offense he never coached against defenses that were stylistically different from when he last played. This is not an attempt to belittle Watson’s past field successes (in fact, he had 33 goals and seven interceptions without DeAndre Hopkins and 112 setter points, knocking down one of the more flimsy arguments against his failing comeback), but Cleveland’s plus/minus list It should be on the list of items that he is willing to deal with while preparing it.
Watson is returning from an 11-game suspension against his former team on Sunday.
Corey Perrine/USA TODAY Sports
Watson excelled on offense, which was largely exemplified by Watson’s time at Clemson, which has sent dozens of players to the NFL since his national championship. This crime and its subtleties spread far and wide. It’s safe to say that what’s strong in 2020 won’t be as explosive in 23. While not unique to Watson, consider, for example, the run-pass option five years ago that was so bad that an Eagles made a Super Bowl run with Carson Wentz and Nick Foles. The RPO has evolved many times over to survive a typical NFL playbook. Watson combining An attack heavily sampled from the Gary Kubiak tree that grows adjacent to, and perhaps parallel to, the Kyle Shanahan tree. While not a true outer zone system, the Browns make use of its principles.
Watson will take the field Sunday in a world where the system, or a relative of that system, is run by more than half of the teams in the NFL. will be scrutinized carefully. each Defensive coordinator in the NFL. What percentage of NFL coaches, schematically, are still relevant three years after they were hired? And what percentage of those still relevant are inducted into the Hall of Fame? What are Cleveland’s chances of retaining Bill Callahan, who is now 65 and is one of the most sought-after offensive line coaches in the NFL each year? and Whatever success the Browns have had like anyone else in the building, is Watson’s deep-seated contract in helping the offensive and strongline work as it should? What are the chances that the Browns will continue to support one of the most expensive offensive lines in the sport (and their left fights are still on a rookie contract, which will almost certainly put them in the top three on positional spend). Percentage of Watson’s contract tolls?
Watson was also dominant during the era of Seahawks-inspired Cover 3 defenses, which seemed to hurt against quarterbacks who could skillfully extend games. In his absence, the league has almost entirely shifted towards more big-game defence, where we’ve seen the likes of him most led by Vic Fangio and his coaching tree. Watson faced a defense run by Fangio once during his NFL career before his absence and suspension. He went 50 out of 28 (56% completion rate) for 292 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. It was the second-worst game in terms of quarterback rating he played all season.
Watson is also 0-2 lifetime against John Harbaugh and 0-1 lifetime against coaches Mike Tomlin, who he will face twice a year until his early 30s.
Both Watson and Michael Vick missed two years at their best, although it’s by no means a suitable comparison other than to spend time away from football. When Vick led the Eagles to a 10-6 record, he had a very good 30-year-old season for the rest of his career. At the time, Vick also had a 22-year-old LeSean McCoy, a 24-year-old DeSean Jackson, and a 22-year-old Jeremy Maclin. Watson will return with Nick Chubb, 27, Kareem Hunt, 28, Joel Bitonio, 32 (probably Cleveland’s best offensive lineman), and 29-year-old Wyatt Teller. and 29-year-old Jack Conklin. The Browns rely heavily on a working game to push their systems forward, and will almost certainly need at least one fresh run back and a few wide receivers to match Watson’s level of skill he’s grown accustomed to at both Clemson and Houston in the coming years. We’re also in the middle of seeing how quickly Russell Wilson, a quarterback with a certain Hall of Fame trajectory, can look human once he’s removed from his element and his physical skills drop slightly to the point where he can’t. behaves as usual.
Of course, all these statistics and comparisons are contingent. Most sample sizes are small. I’m sure this title will be used by Watson supporters who go online and try to knock down any bits of information that somehow make their quarterback look (busy) negatively, especially if Watson shows up and presents as a player.
What we do know for sure is that there was a time when Watson was a great quarterback. The entirety of the Browns’ plan depends on Watson being incredibly good for so long that we forget the terms they signed him for, and then we protect him from financial losses by creatively structuring his contract. Between 2021 and the opening day of 23, what percentage chance does Watson have to be this extraordinarily great versus Cleveland’s chances of finding a good quarterback with no personal baggage through the draft or free agency? What if they had looked elsewhere and not taken a “road adventure” to learn about Watson, as GM Andrew Berry put it?
History will ruin this organization if Watson doesn’t play exceptionally well (sadly, the Browns have already been forgiven by some NFL fans, and only losing will bring proper wrath and proper history). And the “success” bar here is pretty high that needs to be crossed. I don’t mean this to sound rude or insolent, but I think it’s fair to admit that success facilitates the minimization of wrongdoing in the public consciousness. It’s not fair; it’s just a fact. Again, it was probably a big part of Cleveland’s plan. For Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, second Super Bowl before the pivot to lionize him begins (and again, please don’t mislead me by saying that this is true or how it should be or that anything on the field should never ignore the hard work required to rehabilitate and remove accountability on the field).
If it makes it to the playoffs next year, so did Baker Mayfield in 2020. Would the Browns consider it “worth” if he made the playoffs twice in four years, never making it to a conference championship game like he did in Houston? for the long-term damage done by the franchise?
If the Browns thought life was tough as a cute loser, imagine signing a player in the midst of dozens of sexual harassment and assault lawsuits, and then that player making more money than any employee in the state by underperforming in your stadium for years. . Imagine you’re applying for a job that has “2021—Cleveland Browns” on its resume and you have your finger in the staff bucket.
We are all subject to dreams and nightmares on a regular basis. But the Browns must eventually face the idea that they can live in the latter.
More NFL Coverage:
• What Are Browns Fans Doing Now?
• Mail Bag: What to Expect in the Field at Deshaun Watson’s Return?
• Trevor Lawrence’s Retraining Pays Dividends